Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.070968 0.083008 0.096432 0.112504 0.131224 0.152338 0.177965
2026-01-25 0.051646 0.066260 0.084076 0.107381 0.137063 0.173608 0.222049
2026-02-01 0.038471 0.053586 0.073531 0.101752 0.140653 0.192405 0.266546
2026-02-08 0.030206 0.045340 0.066799 0.099407 0.147692 0.216583 0.322460
2026-02-15 0.023957 0.038515 0.060568 0.096338 0.152896 0.238917 0.379876
2026-02-22 0.020084 0.034394 0.057427 0.097098 0.163711 0.271132 0.457794
2026-03-01 0.016793 0.030499 0.053838 0.096337 0.171789 0.300238 0.535888
2026-03-08 0.013794 0.026470 0.049224 0.092875 0.174515 0.320705 0.602831
2026-03-15 0.011781 0.023804 0.046476 0.092141 0.181802 0.350101 0.690585
2026-03-22 0.010587 0.022450 0.045879 0.095270 0.196757 0.395826 0.816694
2026-03-29 0.009641 0.021399 0.045659 0.099053 0.213575 0.447732 0.963763
2026-04-05 0.008632 0.020016 0.044504 0.100660 0.226134 0.493026 1.104900
2026-04-12 0.007555 0.018345 0.042597 0.100674 0.236147 0.536528 1.254371
2026-04-19 0.006401 0.016263 0.039407 0.097238 0.237955 0.562922 1.371746
2026-04-26 0.005380 0.014287 0.036086 0.092860 0.236793 0.582591 1.477931
2026-05-03 0.004672 0.012946 0.034033 0.091185 0.241910 0.618049 1.629587
2026-05-10 0.004032 0.011644 0.031821 0.088666 0.244432 0.647724 1.772864
2026-05-17 0.003633 0.010915 0.030960 0.089564 0.256141 0.702868 1.993705
2026-05-24 0.003229 0.010084 0.029659 0.088990 0.263756 0.748753 2.198804
2026-05-31 0.002793 0.009061 0.027613 0.085871 0.263570 0.773489 2.349770
2026-06-07 0.002495 0.008398 0.026484 0.085245 0.270603 0.819893 2.573214
2026-06-14 0.002333 0.008133 0.026506 0.088178 0.289078 0.903041 2.923833
2026-06-21 0.002200 0.007935 0.026697 0.091707 0.310192 0.998127 3.330715